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Do you buy gold?

By Nic Round  /  2 minutes read

Do you buy gold?

Merryn Somerset Webb at the FT recently discussed buying gold as her hedge against inflation. She is keen. I disagree.  A few years ago I was interviewed on Moneybox about gold. My final comment was ” Warren Buffett sees no need for gold in his portfolio, and what is good enough for him….”

The point is not whether you agree or disagree, but it’s all about numbers.  Merryn talks about a hedge, but what does that mean? She mentions no detail about how much to hedge a portfolio? 5%? 10%? 50%? Here’s the problem.  If you hedge 10%.  In other words, allocate 10% of your portfolio into gold. How easy is that? What do actually buy? How do you hold it? It’s not that straightforward. Assuming you’ve done the deal. You now own 10%. Now 10% of your portfolio doesn’t earn any income? How long before that impacts on your long-term returns.  And if you are right and inflation surges and gold is the answer, is 10% going to make that much of an impact? Have you looked at the numbers in detail? What are you losing over time when you have no income?

If you are a trader rather than an investor, it means you are playing the betting game.  If you want the hedge, you can buy gold now and place a bet. If you believe, then why not bet big.  I prefer to take the long view.  Maybe that’s why Warren Buffett is not a fan either.

To read the full article from Merryn Somerset Webb “Forget bitcoin, give me old fashioned gold as an inflation hedge”

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